ARTÍCULOS-predicciones-epidemiológicas

Primera quincena de Mayo 2020

Caicedo Ochoa Y, et al. Effective Reproductive Number estimation for initial stage of COVID-19 pandemic in Latin American Countries [texto completo]. Int J Infect Dis. 2020 Apr 20;S1201-9712(20)30285-X [doi]

Ibarra-Vega D. Lockdown, one, two, none, or smart. Modeling containing covid-19 infection. A conceptual model [texto completo]. Sci Total Environ. 2020 Apr 22;730:138917 [doi]

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.Segunda quincena de Abril 2020

Park M, et al. A Systematic Review of COVID-19 Epidemiology Based on Current Evidence [texto completo]. J Clin Med. 2020 Mar 31;9(4):E967 [doi]

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Primera quincena Abril 2020

Jewell NP, et al. Caution Warranted: Using the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation Model for Predicting the Course of the COVID-19 Pandemic [texto completo]. Ann Intern Med. 2020 Apr 14;10.7326/M20-1565 [doi

Hellewell J, et al. Feasibility of Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks by Isolation of Cases and Contacts [texto completo]. Lancet Glob Health. 2020 Feb [doi]

Wynants L, et al. Prediction models for diagnosis and prognosis of covid-19 infection: systematic review and critical appraisal [texto completo]. BMJ. 2020 Apr 7;369:m1328. Published 2020 Apr 7 [doi

Pan Y, et al. Viral load of SARS-CoV-2 in clinical samples [texto completo]. Lancet Infect Dis. 2020;S1473-3099(20)30113-4 [doi]

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Segunda quincena Marzo 2020

Li Q, et al. Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia [texto completo]. N Engl J Med. 2020;382(13):1199–1207 [doi] [comentario Journal Watch]

Mizumoto K, et al. Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020 [texto completo]. Euro Surveill. 2020;25(10):10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.10.2000180 [doi]

Koo JR, et al. Interventions to mitigate early spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Singapore: a modelling study [texto completo]. Lancet Infect Dis. 2020;S1473-3099(20)30162-6 [doi]

*Du Z, et al. Serial Interval of COVID-19 among Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases [texto completo]. Emerg Infect Dis. 2020;26(6):10.3201/eid2606.200357 [doi] [comentario Journal Watch]

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Primera quincena Marzo 2020

Wilson N, et al. Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality [texto completo]. Emerg Infect Dis. 2020;26(6):10.3201/eid2606.200320 [doi]

Remuzzi A, et al. COVID-19 and Italy: what next? [texto completo]. Lancet. 2020;S0140-6736(20)30627-9 [doi]

Grasselli G, et al. Critical Care Utilization for the COVID-19 Outbreak in Lombardy, Italy: Early Experience and Forecast During an Emergency Response [texto completo]. JAMA. 2020;10.1001/jama.2020.4031 [doi]

Chinazzi M, et al. The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak [texto completo]. Science. 2020;eaba9757 [doi]

Mizumoto K, et al. Estimating Risk for Death from 2019 Novel Coronavirus Disease, China, January-February 2020 [texto completo]. Emerg Infect Dis. 2020;26(6):10.3201/eid2606.200233 [doi]

Lauer SA, et al. The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application [texto completo] Ann Intern Med. 2020;10.7326/M20-0504 [doi]

Baud D, et al. Real estimates of mortality following COVID-19 infection [texto completo]. Lancet Infect Dis. 2020;S1473-3099(20)30195-X [doi]

Liu Y, et al. The reproductive number of COVID-19 is higher compared to SARS coronavirus [texto completo]. J Travel Med. 2020;27(2):taaa021 [doi]

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Febrero 2020

Kobayashi T, et al. Communicating the Risk of Death from Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) [texto completo]. J Clin Med. 2020;9(2):580 [doi]

Rocklöv J, et al. COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures [texto completo]. J Travel Med. 2020;taaa030 [doi]

Battegay M, et al. 2019-novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV): estimating the case fatality rate – a word of caution [texto completo]. Swiss Med Wkly. 2020;150:w20203 [doi]

Wu JT, et al. Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study [texto completo]. Lancet. 2020;395(10225):689–97 [doi]